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TAKES - Bill Simmons / Joe House / Sports Dad CONVICTION GRADE
00:02:19 | BILL SIMMONS
Steph Curry’s opportunity to have another truly relevant run with Golden State is over; the Warriors are going to waste the remainder of Curry’s productive years without giving him another meaningful championship-level run.
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TBD
00:04:10 | BILL SIMMONS
Steph Curry will not publicly complain about how Golden State is handling the end of his career.
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TBD
00:05:27 | BILL SIMMONS
Golden State will not find a meaningful move with its remaining assets that changes its current predicament.
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00:07:42 | JOE HOUSE
Jalen Brown will get the contract extension he wants from Philadelphia.
⚠️ Disagreement: Simmons strongly doubts Philadelphia will give Brown, Tyrese Maxey and V.J. Edgecombe max contracts.
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00:09:10 | BILL SIMMONS
Jalen Brown’s offensive role in Philadelphia will shrink substantially, with Simmons projecting roughly an 18.2% usage rate.
⚠️ House disputes that this makes Brown a loser, but does not really dispute that his usage will fall.
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TBD
00:10:31 | JOE HOUSE
Indiana will be more likely than Miami to reach the Eastern Conference Finals; House says there are “under no circumstances” in which he would take Miami over Indiana.
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00:11:06 | BILL SIMMONS
If forced to predict the NBA Finals right now, Simmons has the Knicks facing San Antonio in a Finals rematch.
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00:30:00 | JOE HOUSE
LeBron James will play fewer than 55 regular-season games this season and therefore will not play enough games to win the NBA assist title.
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00:30:25–00:30:26 | BILL SIMMONS + JOE HOUSE
LeBron James will play more total games for Philadelphia from this point forward than Joel Embiid will over the remainder of Embiid’s Sixers tenure.
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00:33:32 | BILL SIMMONS
LeBron’s Philadelphia stint will not resemble Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay run or Brett Favre's with Minnesota: Simmons does not expect LeBron to produce an MVP-level season or similarly dominate as an aging superstar.
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00:48:39 | BILL SIMMONS
LeBron is not entering his completely washed-up final stage this season; he is roughly two years away from a Celtics-Shaq-type end-of-career decline.
House agrees.
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TBD
01:03:43 | JOE HOUSE
Brandon Aiyuk will not end up with Washington; at best, another NFL team will offer him a tryout, and that team will cut him at the first sign of further problems.
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TBD
01:25:16 | SPORTS DAD
Red Sox pitching prospect Anthony Eyanson will be called up to the majors this season.
⚠️ Eyanson was dealt to Baltimore in the Rutschman trade.
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01:25:59 | BILL SIMMONS
The Red Sox will make one more trade.
✓ HIT — Red Sox acquired catcher Adley Rutschman from Baltimore.
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✓ A
01:34:51 | BILL SIMMONS
The Raiders will still be starting Kirk Cousins when they play New England in Week 5, because Fernando Mendoza will not be ready.
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01:43:05 | SPORTS DAD
Paul George will exercise his player option because no other team will sign him to a better deal.
Simmons effectively agrees.
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01:43:10 | BILL SIMMONS
Paul George will exercise his player option next year, making the final year of his contract an expiring deal that Boston can use as part of its next attempt to build a contender.
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01:50:09 | SPORTS DAD
Paul George will again be injury-plagued with Boston and provide (sarcastically) “four good games” this season.
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01:50:58 | BILL SIMMONS
Jalen Brown, Tyrese Maxey and V.J. Edgecombe will all play heavy minutes and be capable of carrying Philadelphia through the regular season when LeBron James and Joel Embiid miss games.
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01:57:16 | BILL SIMMONS
Jalen Brown will have to assume a Derek White-type complementary role in Philadelphia rather than functioning as a primary star.
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01:57:40 | SPORTS DAD
Paul George will get injured early, jokes specifically about 19 games into the year.
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