00:01:39 | MINA KIMES

C.J. Stroud will rebound in 2026 and perform better than the prevailing public and league-wide opinion of him suggests.

⚠️ Bill is open to a rebound but considers Stroud unusually difficult to project.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:05:43 | MINA KIMES

The 2026 season could be the end of Tua Tagovailoa as a viable starting quarterback.

⚠️ Bill says he has already given up on Tua.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:08:15 | MINA KIMES

Jayden Daniels and Washington’s offense will experience growing pains while adjusting to a substantially different system and a new play-caller.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:09:20 | MINA KIMES

Daniel Jones will not sustain the elite level of play he showed during the first two months of last season.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:12:08 | MINA KIMES

Lamar Jackson will be fine in 2026 despite last season’s injuries and diminished rushing production.

⚠️ Bill is substantially more skeptical and ranks Drake Maye ahead of Jackson for the coming season.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:13:16 | MINA KIMES

Kyler Murray is the most likely quarterback to have a major career-resurrection season, although Minnesota’s offense may look shaky early while Murray and Kevin O’Connell adjust to each other.

⚠️ Bill says he is “completely out” on Murray and sees him as no better than a .500 quarterback.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:19:14 | MINA KIMES

Shedeur Sanders will win Cleveland’s starting-quarterback job.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:19:38–00:19:55 | BILL SIMMONS

Cooper Rush will play more games for Atlanta in 2026 than either Michael Penix Jr. or Tua Tagovailoa because neither Penix nor Tua will remain healthy.

⚠️ Mina says she would prefer Penix or Tua to Cleveland’s quarterbacks when healthy but concedes that their health makes Bill’s argument fair.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:19:55 | BILL SIMMONS

Tua Tagovailoa has no more than approximately four NFL starts remaining because another significant hit will end his career.

⚠️ Mina agrees that 2026 could be the end for Tua but does not make this prediction as forcefully.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:30:55 | MINA KIMES

DJ Moore will improve Buffalo’s offense by giving Josh Allen a boundary receiver capable of beating man coverage.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:37:08 | MINA KIMES

Matthew Stafford will remain effective in 2026, provided the Rams’ offensive line does not suffer a major injury.

⚠️ Bill is more concerned that Stafford’s age and accumulated wear could produce a decline.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:37:57 | MINA KIMES

Patrick Mahomes will not return to his previous statistical peak unless Kansas City finds a legitimate No. 1 wide receiver.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:42:52 | BILL SIMMONS

Drake Maye will be a better and safer quarterback than Lamar Jackson for the 2026 season.

⚠️ Mina strongly disagrees, saying she would not take Maye over the two-time MVP for a single season.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:49:30 | BILL SIMMONS

Justin Herbert is a stealth MVP candidate for the 2026 season.

⚠️ Mina says she “totally” agrees.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:51:28 | MINA KIMES

Trevor Lawrence’s strong performance over the final eight games of last season is the version of Lawrence that will carry into 2026 because his favorable circumstances remain largely unchanged.

⚠️ Bill agrees and moves Lawrence into a higher tier.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:52:00 | MINA KIMES

Jared Goff will be the best of the Darnold–Goff–Purdy–Caleb Williams group for the 2026 season, effectively placing him 10th among NFL quarterbacks.

⚠️ Bill accepts her selection and moves Goff to 10th.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:55:58 | MINA KIMES

Jalen Hurts and Philadelphia’s new offense will probably take time to look good and may struggle during the opening weeks of the season.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

00:59:05 | BILL SIMMONS

Bo Nix should improve in 2026 because Denver has given him substantially better weapons.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:02:07 | BILL SIMMONS

C.J. Stroud will gain confidence as the 2026 season progresses because Houston’s defense will consistently put him in favorable game situations.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:04:36 | BILL SIMMONS

Aaron Rodgers might fool people with a couple of good games, but he will not hold up as an effective quarterback over a full 17-game season.

⚠️ Mina agrees with the underlying concerns about Rodgers.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:05:40 | MINA KIMES

When pressured, Aaron Rodgers will repeatedly throw the ball away or into the ground rather than expose himself to contact, limiting the entire offense.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:08:13 | MINA KIMES

Fernando Mendoza will take over as the Raiders’ starting quarterback sooner than expected, in a timeline resembling Drake Maye’s early-rookie-season promotion, and will outperform the incumbent.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:15:51 | BILLY GIL

The Dodgers’ current financial model will eventually collapse, particularly around 2039–40 when their favorable television arrangement expires while large deferred salaries come due.

⚠️ Bill loves super teams and isn't concerned about LA's spending model.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:24:33 | BILL SIMMONS

Aaron Judge will not return during the 2026 season because his rib injury is more serious than the Yankees are acknowledging.

⚠️ Anthony allows that Judge might return for the playoffs but doubts that he would be fully healthy.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:28:19 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

Seattle is the most likely American League team to emerge unexpectedly during August and September and make a postseason run.

⚠️ Bill also selects Seattle.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:28:50 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

The Yankees and Red Sox will probably occupy the No. 4 and No. 5 seeds in the American League, while a team from the AL West or Central will necessarily reach the ALCS from the other side of the bracket.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:29:20 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

The White Sox are a year early as contenders, and their bullpen will not hold up over the course of a playoff series.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:29:30 | BILL SIMMONS

Seattle will call up top pitching prospect Kade Anderson around August 15 and use him as a high-leverage postseason weapon.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:38:38 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

The National League pennant race will remain limited to the five established contenders—the Dodgers, Brewers, Braves, Cubs and Phillies—with no unexpected team breaking into that group.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:43:43 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

Bryce Harper will not be a good defensive outfielder for Philadelphia in 2026.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:52:00 | ANTHONY DABBUNDO

The Athletics will have essentially no home-field advantage in Las Vegas; their games will have the atmosphere of a tourism-driven road environment.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:53:53 | BILL SIMMONS

Major League Baseball will have a lockout in 2027.

⚠️ Billy and Anthony also discuss a lockout as a serious expectation, although often conditionally.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:56:12 | BILL SIMMONS

Tarik Skubal will sign a long-term contract with the Dodgers; other clubs effectively treated him as a rental because they believed Los Angeles was his intended destination.

⚠️ Anthony questions why other contenders did not trade for Skubal but does not endorse Bill’s certainty about an extension.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:58:04 | BILL SIMMONS

If baseball disappears during a lockout, many fans will move on to other entertainment, and the stoppage will have less cultural impact than the 1981 or 1994 labor disputes.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

01:58:54 | BILL SIMMONS

MLB owners will be willing to sacrifice an entire season, disregard the fans and attempt to break the players in order to obtain a salary cap.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

02:14:57 | DAVID SHOEMAKER

WWE has passed the peak of its recent boom and will decline from the high produced by Roman Reigns, Cody Rhodes and CM Punk before the business cycle eventually rises again.

⚠️ Bill also describes WWE as being in a post-hot-streak lull.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

02:26:43 | DAVID SHOEMAKER

WWE will continue a long-term effort to entice Jon Moxley/Dean Ambrose to return, and an enormous offer for a future event such as WrestleMania 50 will remain available to him.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD

02:39:29 | BILL SIMMONS

Professional wrestling will never produce another career with the same extraordinary combination of longevity, influence, reinvention and controversy as Hulk Hogan’s.

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

TBD